检查残差并可视化零膨胀泊松 r

examining residuals and visualizing zero-inflated poission r

我是 运行 CPUE 数据的零膨胀模型。该数据具有零 inflation 的证据,我已通过 Vuong 测试(在下面的代码中)确认了这一点。根据 AIC,完整模型 (zint) 优于空模型。我现在想要:

  1. 检查完整模型的残差以确定模型拟合(由于缺乏来自同事、互联网和 R 书籍的信息而遇到问题)
  2. 如果模型拟合似乎没问题,可视化模型的输出(使用偏移变量时如何制定实参数值的方程)

我已经向该部门的一些统计人员寻求帮助(他们以前从未这样做过,并将我发送到相同的 google 搜索站点),在统计部门之外(每个人都太忙了)和 Whosebug 提要。

我希望有代码或书籍指南(在线免费提供),其中包含处理可视化 ZIP 和使用偏移变量时模型拟合的代码。

 yc=read.csv("CPUE_ycs_trawl_withcobb_BLS.csv",header=TRUE)
 yc=yc[which(yc$countinyear<150),]
 yc$fyear=as.factor(yc$year_cap)
 yc$flocation=as.factor(yc$location)
 hist(yc$countinyear,20)
 yc$logoffset=log(yc$numtrawlyr)

 ###Run Zero-inflated poisson with offset for CPUE####
 null <- formula(yc$countinyear ~ 1| 1)
 znull <- zeroinfl(null, offset=logoffset,dist = "poisson",link = "logit",
 data = yc)

 int <- formula(yc$countinyear ~ assnage * spawncob| assnage * spawncob)
 zint <- zeroinfl(int, offset=logoffset,dist = "poisson",link = "logit", data  
 = yc)
 AIC(znull,zint)

  g1=glm(countinyear ~ assnage * spawncob,
  offset=logoffset,data=yc,family=poisson)
  summary(g1)

 ####Vuong test to see if ZIP is even needed##
 vuong(g1,zint)

 ##########DATASET###########

countinyear 是第 1 列

 ##########DATASET###########

count assnage    spawncob      logoffset
56      0       0.32110173      2.833213
44      1       0.33712     2.833213
60      2       0.34053264      2.833213
0       4       0.19381496      2.833213
1       3       0.30819333      2.833213
33      0       0.32110173      2.833213
40      1       0.33712     2.833213
25      2       0.34053264      2.833213
0       3       0.30819333      2.833213
2       4       0.19381496      2.833213
6       0       0.32110173      2.833213
13      1       0.33712     2.833213
7       2       0.34053264      2.833213
0       3       0.30819333      2.833213
0       4       0.19381496      NA
5       0       0.32110173      2.833213
31      1       0.33712     2.833213
73      2       0.34053264      2.833213
0       3       0.30819333      2.833213
1       4       0.19381496      2.833213
0       0       0.32110173      2.833213
7       1       0.33712     2.833213
75      2       0.34053264      2.833213
3       3       0.30819333      2.833213
0       4       0.19381496      2.833213
19      0       0.32110173      2.833213
13      1       0.33712     2.833213
18      2       0.34053264      2.833213
0       3       0.30819333      2.833213
2       4       0.19381496      2.833213
11      0       0.32110173      2.833213
14      1       0.33712     2.833213
32      2       0.34053264      2.833213
1       3       0.30819333      2.833213
1       4       0.19381496      2.833213
12      0       0.32110173      2.833213
3       1       0.33712     2.833213
9       2       0.34053264      2.833213
2       3       0.30819333      2.833213
0       4       0.19381496      2.833213
5       0       0.32110173      2.833213
15      1       0.33712     2.833213
22      2       0.34053264      2.833213
5       3       0.30819333      2.833213
1       4       0.19381496      2.833213
1       0       0.32110173      2.833213
16      1       0.33712     2.833213
33      2       0.34053264      2.833213
4       3       0.30819333      2.833213
2       4       0.19381496      2.833213
6       0       0.32110173      2.833213
17      1       0.33712     2.833213
26      2       0.34053264      2.833213
1       3       0.30819333      2.833213
0       4       0.19381496      2.833213
16      0       0.32110173      2.833213
16      1       0.33712     2.833213
11      2       0.34053264      2.833213
1       3       0.30819333      2.833213
1       4       0.19381496      2.833213
2       0       0.32110173      2.833213
8       1       0.33712     2.833213
18      2       0.34053264      2.833213
0       3       0.30819333      2.833213
0       4       0.19381496      2.833213
2       0       0.32110173      2.833213
27      1       0.33712     2.833213
49      2       0.34053264      2.833213
1       3       0.30819333      2.833213
0       4       0.19381496      2.833213
1       0       0.32110173      2.833213
6       1       0.33712     2.833213
36      2       0.34053264      2.833213
17      3       0.30819333      2.833213
0       4       0.19381496      2.833213
10      0       0.32110173      2.833213
21      1       0.33712     2.833213
78      2       0.34053264      2.833213
32      3       0.30819333      2.833213
0       4       0.19381496      2.833213
0       0       0.32110173      2.833213
8       1       0.33712     2.833213
14      2       0.34053264      2.833213
7       3       0.30819333      2.833213
0       4       0.19381496      2.833213
0       1       0.13648433      2.833213
6       1       0.23952033      2.833213
12      2       0.32110173      2.833213
0       3       0.33712     2.833213
0       4       0.34053264      2.833213
30      0       0.13648433      2.833213
30      1       0.23952033      2.833213
25      2       0.32110173      2.833213
30      3       0.33712     2.833213
30      4       0.34053264      2.833213
68      0       0.13648433      2.833213
68      1       0.23952033      2.833213
55      2       0.32110173      2.833213
68      3       0.33712     2.833213
68      4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
12      1       0.23952033      2.833213
26      2       0.32110173      2.833213
2       3       0.33712     2.833213
1       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
17      1       0.23952033      2.833213
36      2       0.32110173      2.833213
1       3       0.33712     2.833213
4       4       0.34053264      2.833213
1       0       0.13648433      2.833213
1       1       0.23952033      2.833213
4       2       0.32110173      2.833213
4       3       0.33712     2.833213
0       4       0.34053264      2.833213
3       0       0.13648433      2.833213
3       1       0.23952033      2.833213
3       2       0.32110173      2.833213
3       3       0.33712     2.833213
3       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
29      1       0.23952033      2.833213
33      2       0.32110173      2.833213
0       3       0.33712     2.833213
0       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
10      1       0.23952033      2.833213
7       2       0.32110173      2.833213
1       3       0.33712     2.833213
0       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
6       1       0.23952033      2.833213
18      2       0.32110173      2.833213
1       3       0.33712     2.833213
0       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
18      1       0.23952033      2.833213
37      2       0.32110173      2.833213
1       3       0.33712     2.833213
1       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
13      1       0.23952033      2.833213
26      2       0.32110173      2.833213
8       3       0.33712     2.833213
0       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
0       1       0.23952033      2.833213
1       2       0.32110173      2.833213
0       3       0.33712     2.833213
0       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
1       1       0.23952033      2.833213
5       2       0.32110173      2.833213
0       3       0.33712     2.833213
0       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
29      1       0.23952033      2.833213
15      2       0.32110173      2.833213
2       3       0.33712     2.833213
0       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
19      1       0.23952033      2.833213
25      2       0.32110173      2.833213
3       3       0.33712     2.833213
1       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.13648433      2.833213
24      1       0.23952033      2.833213
40      2       0.32110173      2.833213
6       3       0.33712     2.833213
1       4       0.34053264      2.833213
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
28      1       0.07414634      2.772589
28      2       0.13648433      2.772589
3       3       0.23952033      2.772589
2       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
3       1       0.07414634      2.772589
2       2       0.13648433      2.772589
0       3       0.23952033      2.772589
0       4       0.32110173      2.772589
4       0       0.03678637      2.772589
14      1       0.07414634      2.772589
6       2       0.13648433      2.772589
0       3       0.23952033      2.772589
0       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
6       1       0.07414634      2.772589
3       2       0.13648433      2.772589
2       3       0.23952033      2.772589
0       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
8       1       0.07414634      2.772589
2       2       0.13648433      2.772589
4       3       0.23952033      2.772589
1       4       0.32110173      2.772589
1       0       0.03678637      2.772589
12      1       0.07414634      2.772589
23      2       0.13648433      2.772589
0       3       0.23952033      2.772589
0       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
24      1       0.07414634      2.772589
56      2       0.13648433      2.772589
7       3       0.23952033      2.772589
4       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
22      1       0.07414634      2.772589
45      2       0.13648433      2.772589
3       3       0.23952033      2.772589
0       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
2       1       0.07414634      2.772589
18      2       0.13648433      2.772589
1       3       0.23952033      2.772589
0       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
5       1       0.07414634      2.772589
18      2       0.13648433      2.772589
5       3       0.23952033      2.772589
1       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
9       1       0.07414634      2.772589
25      2       0.13648433      2.772589
6       3       0.23952033      2.772589
1       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
1       1       0.07414634      2.772589
3       2       0.13648433      2.772589
1       3       0.23952033      2.772589
1       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
3       1       0.07414634      2.772589
16      2       0.13648433      2.772589
0       3       0.23952033      2.772589
0       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
7       1       0.07414634      2.772589
21      2       0.13648433      2.772589
8       3       0.23952033      2.772589
0       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
5       1       0.07414634      2.772589
22      2       0.13648433      2.772589
6       3       0.23952033      2.772589
0       4       0.32110173      2.772589
0       0       0.03678637      2.772589
11      1       0.07414634      2.772589
22      2       0.13648433      2.772589
6       3       0.23952033      2.772589
0       4       0.32110173      2.772589
1       0       0.11532605      2.564949
7       1       0.05628636      2.564949
11      2       0.03678637      2.564949
0       3       0.07414634      2.564949
0       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.11532605      2.564949
4       1       0.05628636      2.564949
4       2       0.03678637      2.564949
0       3       0.07414634      2.564949
0       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.11532605      2.564949
0       1       0.05628636      2.564949
5       2       0.03678637      2.564949
0       3       0.07414634      2.564949
1       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.11532605      2.564949
3       1       0.05628636      2.564949
4       2       0.03678637      2.564949
0       3       0.07414634      2.564949
0       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.11532605      2.564949
3       1       0.05628636      2.564949
0       2       0.03678637      2.564949
1       3       0.07414634      2.564949
0       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.11532605      2.564949
1       1       0.05628636      2.564949
0       2       0.03678637      2.564949
0       3       0.07414634      2.564949
0       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.11532605      2.564949
6       1       0.05628636      2.564949
9       2       0.03678637      2.564949
3       3       0.07414634      2.564949
0       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.11532605      2.564949
3       1       0.05628636      2.564949
4       2       0.03678637      2.564949
3       3       0.07414634      2.564949
1       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.11532605      2.564949
1       1       0.05628636      2.564949
3       2       0.03678637      2.564949
4       3       0.07414634      2.564949
0       4       0.13648433      2.564949
1       0       0.11532605      2.564949
3       1       0.05628636      2.564949
10      2       0.03678637      2.564949
2       3       0.07414634      2.564949
1       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.11532605      2.564949
0       1       0.05628636      2.564949
3       2       0.03678637      2.564949
3       3       0.07414634      2.564949
1       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.11532605      2.564949
24      1       0.05628636      2.564949
43      2       0.03678637      2.564949
11      3       0.07414634      2.564949
3       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.11532605      2.564949
3       1       0.05628636      2.564949
19      2       0.03678637      2.564949
14      3       0.07414634      2.564949
2       4       0.13648433      2.564949
0       0       0.09016875      NA
25      1       0.14227471      2.833213
2       2       0.11532605      2.833213
0       3       0.05628636      2.833213
0       4       0.03678637      2.833213
0       0       0.09016875      2.833213
14      1       0.14227471      2.833213
0       2       0.11532605      2.833213
0       3       0.05628636      2.833213
0       4       0.03678637      2.833213
0       0       0.09016875      2.833213
12      1       0.14227471      2.833213
4       2       0.11532605      2.833213
0       3       0.05628636      2.833213
0       4       0.03678637      2.833213
1       0       0.09016875      2.833213
42      1       0.14227471      2.833213
20      2       0.11532605      2.833213
1       3       0.05628636      2.833213
2       4       0.03678637      2.833213
0       0       0.09016875      2.833213
48      1       0.14227471      2.833213
40      2       0.11532605      2.833213
1       3       0.05628636      2.833213
0       4       0.03678637      2.833213
10      0       0.09016875      2.833213
23      2       0.11532605      2.833213
0       3       0.05628636      2.833213
2       4       0.03678637      2.833213
2       0       0.09016875      2.833213
89      1       0.14227471      2.833213
5       2       0.11532605      2.833213
1       3       0.05628636      2.833213
6       4       0.03678637      2.833213
0       0       0.09016875      2.833213
27      1       0.14227471      2.833213
9       2       0.11532605      2.833213
3       3       0.05628636      2.833213
2       4       0.03678637      2.833213
1       0       0.09016875      2.833213
6       1       0.14227471      2.833213
0       2       0.11532605      2.833213
1       3       0.05628636      2.833213
0       4       0.03678637      2.833213
0       0       0.09016875      2.833213
65      1       0.14227471      2.833213
35      2       0.11532605      2.833213
1       3       0.05628636      2.833213
2       4       0.03678637      2.833213
0       0       0.09016875      2.833213
29      1       0.14227471      2.833213
26      2       0.11532605      2.833213
3       3       0.05628636      2.833213
1       4       0.03678637      2.833213
4       0       0.09016875      2.833213
105     1       0.14227471      2.833213
5       2       0.11532605      2.833213
0       3       0.05628636      2.833213
1       4       0.03678637      2.833213
4       0       0.09016875      2.833213
107     1       0.14227471      2.833213
5       2       0.11532605      2.833213
0       3       0.05628636      2.833213
0       4       0.03678637      2.833213
0       0       0.09016875      2.833213
17      1       0.14227471      2.833213
1       2       0.11532605      2.833213
0       3       0.05628636      2.833213
0       4       0.03678637      2.833213
3       0       0.09016875      2.833213
106     1       0.14227471      2.833213
1       2       0.11532605      2.833213
1       3       0.05628636      2.833213
0       4       0.03678637      2.833213
0       0       0.09016875      2.833213
21      1       0.14227471      2.833213
14      2       0.11532605      2.833213
5       3       0.05628636      2.833213
1       4       0.03678637      2.833213
0       0       0.09016875      2.833213
35      1       0.14227471      2.833213
12      2       0.11532605      2.833213
8       3       0.05628636      2.833213
2       4       0.03678637      2.833213
4       0       0.13510174      1.791759
1       1       0.10188844      1.791759
4       2       0.09016875      1.791759
0       3       0.14227471      1.791759
0       4       0.11532605      1.791759
3       0       0.13510174      1.791759
16      1       0.10188844      1.791759
11      2       0.09016875      1.791759
0       3       0.14227471      1.791759
0       4       0.11532605      1.791759
4       0       0.13510174      1.791759
20      1       0.10188844      1.791759
7       2       0.09016875      1.791759
0       3       0.14227471      1.791759
0       4       0.11532605      1.791759
0       0       0.13510174      1.791759
3       1       0.10188844      1.791759
1       2       0.09016875      1.791759
1       3       0.14227471      1.791759
1       4       0.11532605      1.791759
0       0       0.13510174      1.791759
2       1       0.10188844      1.791759
8       2       0.09016875      1.791759
2       3       0.14227471      1.791759
1       4       0.11532605      1.791759
0       0       0.13510174      1.791759
1       1       0.10188844      1.791759
40      2       0.09016875      1.791759
8       3       0.14227471      1.791759
0       4       0.11532605      1.791759
0       0       0.33638851      2.70805
0       1       0.20354567      2.70805
18      2       0.13510174      2.70805
2       3       0.10188844      2.70805
0       4       0.09016875      2.70805
0       0       0.33638851      2.70805
0       1       0.20354567      2.70805
1       2       0.13510174      2.70805
0       3       0.10188844      2.70805
0       4       0.09016875      2.70805
0       0       0.33638851      2.70805
1       1       0.20354567      2.70805
1       2       0.13510174      2.70805
0       3       0.10188844      2.70805
0       4       0.09016875      2.70805
0       0       0.33638851      2.70805
13      1       0.20354567      2.70805
23      2       0.13510174      2.70805
1       3       0.10188844      2.70805
13      4       0.09016875      2.70805
0       0       0.33638851      2.70805
1       1       0.20354567      2.70805
8       2       0.13510174      2.70805
3       3       0.10188844      2.70805
4       4       0.09016875      2.70805
0       0       0.33638851      2.70805
2       1       0.20354567      2.70805
9       2       0.13510174      2.70805
2       3       0.10188844      2.70805
0       4       0.09016875      2.70805
26      0       0.33638851      2.70805
2       1       0.20354567      2.70805
2       2       0.13510174      2.70805
0       3       0.10188844      2.70805
0       4       0.09016875      2.70805
57      0       0.33638851      2.70805
4       1       0.20354567      2.70805
6       2       0.13510174      2.70805
0       3       0.10188844      2.70805
1       4       0.09016875      2.70805
26      0       0.33638851      2.70805
3       1       0.20354567      2.70805
10      2       0.13510174      2.70805
2       3       0.10188844      2.70805
3       4       0.09016875      2.70805
9       0       0.33638851      2.70805
1       1       0.20354567      2.70805
3       2       0.13510174      2.70805
2       3       0.10188844      2.70805
0       4       0.09016875      2.70805
0       0       0.33638851      2.70805
0       1       0.20354567      2.70805
6       2       0.13510174      2.70805
1       3       0.10188844      2.70805
0       4       0.09016875      2.70805
0       0       0.33638851      2.70805
4       1       0.20354567      2.70805
16      2       0.13510174      2.70805
12      3       0.10188844      2.70805
3       4       0.09016875      2.70805
0       0       0.33638851      2.70805
7       1       0.20354567      2.70805
19      2       0.13510174      2.70805
8       3       0.10188844      2.70805
2       4       0.09016875      2.70805
14      0       0.33638851      2.70805
8       1       0.20354567      2.70805
33      2       0.13510174      2.70805
25      3       0.10188844      2.70805
4       4       0.09016875      2.70805
5       1       0.20354567      2.70805
15      2       0.13510174      2.70805
20      3       0.10188844      2.70805
10      4       0.09016875      2.70805
8       0       0.17597738      2.833213
28      1       0.25832942      2.833213
6       2       0.33638851      2.833213
0       3       0.20354567      2.833213
0       4       0.13510174      2.833213
4       0       0.17597738      2.833213
15      1       0.25832942      2.833213
27      2       0.33638851      2.833213
0       3       0.20354567      2.833213
0       4       0.13510174      2.833213
5       0       0.17597738      2.833213
13      1       0.25832942      2.833213
6       2       0.33638851      2.833213
0       3       0.20354567      2.833213
1       4       0.13510174      2.833213
0       0       0.17597738      2.833213
1       1       0.25832942      2.833213
0       2       0.33638851      2.833213
0       3       0.20354567      2.833213
2       4       0.13510174      2.833213
0       0       0.17597738      2.833213
6       1       0.25832942      2.833213
22      2       0.33638851      2.833213
0       3       0.20354567      2.833213
0       4       0.13510174      2.833213
0       0       0.17597738      2.833213
0       1       0.25832942      2.833213
11      2       0.33638851      2.833213
1       3       0.20354567      2.833213
2       4       0.13510174      2.833213
2       0       0.17597738      2.833213
0       1       0.25832942      2.833213
7       2       0.33638851      2.833213
3       3       0.20354567      2.833213
0       4       0.13510174      2.833213
1       0       0.17597738      2.833213
14      1       0.25832942      2.833213
23      2       0.33638851      2.833213
0       3       0.20354567      2.833213
1       4       0.13510174      2.833213
0       0       0.17597738      2.833213
0       1       0.25832942      2.833213
5       2       0.33638851      2.833213
2       3       0.20354567      2.833213
0       4       0.13510174      2.833213
0       0       0.17597738      2.833213
3       1       0.25832942      2.833213
6       2       0.33638851      2.833213
0       3       0.20354567      2.833213
1       4       0.13510174      2.833213
0       0       0.17597738      2.833213
0       1       0.25832942      2.833213
2       2       0.33638851      2.833213
0       3       0.20354567      2.833213
4       4       0.13510174      2.833213
2       0       0.17597738      2.833213
39      1       0.25832942      2.833213
18      2       0.33638851      2.833213
7       3       0.20354567      2.833213
0       4       0.13510174      2.833213
3       0       0.17597738      2.833213
25      1       0.25832942      2.833213
9       2       0.33638851      2.833213
3       3       0.20354567      2.833213
0       4       0.13510174      2.833213
4       0       0.17597738      2.833213
7       1       0.25832942      2.833213
1       2       0.33638851      2.833213
1       3       0.20354567      2.833213
0       4       0.13510174      2.833213
0       0       0.17597738      2.833213
1       1       0.25832942      2.833213
6       2       0.33638851      2.833213
1       3       0.20354567      2.833213
0       4       0.13510174      2.833213
2       0       0.17597738      2.833213
15      1       0.25832942      2.833213
49      2       0.33638851      2.833213
19      3       0.20354567      2.833213
2       4       0.13510174      2.833213
0       0       0.17597738      2.833213
0       1       0.25832942      2.833213
1       2       0.33638851      2.833213
0       3       0.20354567      2.833213
0       4       0.13510174      2.833213
3       0       0.17485677      2.302585
50      1       0.17597738      2.302585
25      2       0.25832942      2.302585
0       3       0.33638851      2.302585
0       4       0.20354567      2.302585
1       0       0.17485677      2.302585
7       1       0.17597738      2.302585
8       2       0.25832942      2.302585
0       3       0.33638851      2.302585
0       4       0.20354567      2.302585
3       0       0.17485677      2.302585
16      1       0.17597738      2.302585
63      2       0.25832942      2.302585
3       3       0.33638851      2.302585
0       4       0.20354567      2.302585
1       0       0.17485677      2.302585
34      1       0.17597738      2.302585
12      3       0.33638851      2.302585
4       4       0.20354567      2.302585
0       0       0.17485677      2.302585
29      1       0.17597738      2.302585
16      2       0.25832942      2.302585
0       3       0.33638851      2.302585
0       4       0.20354567      2.302585
0       0       0.17485677      2.302585
30      1       0.17597738      2.302585
13      2       0.25832942      2.302585
0       3       0.33638851      2.302585
2       4       0.20354567      2.302585
0       0       0.17485677      2.302585
15      1       0.17597738      2.302585
10      2       0.25832942      2.302585
0       3       0.33638851      2.302585
1       4       0.20354567      2.302585
4       0       0.17485677      2.302585
50      1       0.17597738      2.302585
32      2       0.25832942      2.302585
6       3       0.33638851      2.302585
8       4       0.20354567      2.302585
0       0       0.17485677      2.302585
32      1       0.17597738      2.302585
29      2       0.25832942      2.302585
4       3       0.33638851      2.302585
8       4       0.20354567      2.302585
0       0       0.17485677      2.302585
2       1       0.17597738      2.302585
2       2       0.25832942      2.302585
2       3       0.33638851      2.302585
3       4       0.20354567      2.302585

为了可视化概率回归模型的拟合优度,"standard" 残差(例如,泊松或偏差)通常没有那么丰富的信息,因为它们主要捕获均值而非整个分布的建模。有时使用的一种替代方法是(随机化的)分位数残差。在没有随机化的情况下,它们被定义为 qnorm(pdist(y)),其中 pdist() 是拟合分布函数(这里是 ZIP 模型),y 是观察值,qnorm() 是分位数函数标准正态分布。如果模型适合,残差的分布应该是标准正态的,并且可以在 Q-Q 图中检查。在离散分布的情况下(如此处),需要随机化来打破数据的离散性质。有关详细信息,请参见 Dunn & Smyth(1996 年,Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics5、236-244)。在 R 中,您可以使用 R-Forge 中的 countreg 包(希望很快也能在 CRAN 上使用)。

检查数据边缘分布的另一种方法是所谓的根图。它直观地比较了计数的观察频率和拟合频率,0、1,...它通常比随机分位数残差的 Q-Q 图更能显示过零 and/or 过度分散的问题。有关更多信息,请参阅我们的论文 Kleiber & Zeileis (2016, The American Statistician, 70(3), 296–303, doi:10.1080/00031305.2016.1173590)详情。

将这些快速应用于您的回归模型表明零膨胀 泊松 并未解释响应中的过度分散。 (计数达到或超过 100 时,基于泊松的分布几乎从不适合。)此外,零 inflation 模型不太适合,因为 assnage = 1 和 = 2 零很少,不需要零 inflation。这导致零 inflation 部分的相应系数趋向 -Inf 并具有非常大的标准误差(如二元回归中的准分离)。因此,由两部分组成的障碍模型更适合并且可能更容易解释。最后,由于两个 assnage 组不同,我将编码 assnage 作为一个因素(我不清楚你是否已经这样做了)。

因此,为了分析您的数据,我使用 yc 作为您 post 中提供的,并确保:

yc$assnage <- factor(yc$assnage)

为了初步探索 assnage 的影响,我绘制了 count 是否为正数(左:零障碍)和正数 count 对数-规模(右:计数)。

plot(factor(count > 0, levels = c(FALSE, TRUE), labels = c("=0", ">0")) ~ assnage,
  data = yc, ylab = "count", main = "Zero hurdle")
plot(count ~ assnage, data = yc, subset = count > 0,
  log = "y", main = "Count (positive)")

然后,我使用 R-Forge 的 countreg 包安装 ZIP、ZINB 和 hurdle NB 模型。这也包含 zeroinfl()hurdle() 函数的更新版本。

install.packages("countreg", repos = "http://R-Forge.R-project.org")
library("countreg")
zip <- zeroinfl(count ~ assnage * spawncob, offset = logoffset,
  data = yc, dist = "poisson")
zinb <- zeroinfl(count ~ assnage * spawncob, offset = logoffset,
  data = yc, dist = "negbin")
hnb <- hurdle(count ~ assnage * spawncob, offset = logoffset, data = yc,
  dist = "negbin")

ZIP明显不妥,栏NB略好于ZINB

BIC(zip, zinb, hnb)
##      df      BIC
## zip  20 7700.085
## zinb 21 3574.720
## hnb  21 3556.693

如果您检查 summary(zinb),您还会看到零 inflation 部分中的某些系数约为 10(对于虚拟变量),标准误差大一到两个数量级。这实质上意味着相应组中的零 inflation 概率变为零,因为负二项分布已经具有足够多的零响应概率权重(assnage 第 1 组和第 2 组)。

为了可视化 ZIP 模型不适合而 HNB 适当地捕获响应,我们现在可以使用根图。

rootogram(zip, main = "ZIP", ylim = c(-5, 15), max = 50)
rootogram(hnb, main = "HNB", ylim = c(-5, 15), max = 50)

ZIP 的波浪状图案清楚地显示了模型未正确捕获的数据过度分散。相比之下,障碍相当合适。

作为最后的检查,我们还可以查看障碍模型中分位数残差的 Q-Q 图。这些看起来相当正常,与模型没有任何可疑的偏差。

qqrplot(hnb, main = "HNB")

由于残差是随机的,您可以重新运行 代码几次以了解变化情况。 qqrplot() 也有一些论点,让您可以在单个图中探索这种变化。