R:rpart 树使用两个解释变量增长,但在删除不太重要的变量后不会增长

R: rpart tree grows using two explanatory variables, but not after removing less important variable

数据: 我正在使用 rsample 包中的 "attrition" dataset

问题: 使用损耗数据集和 rpart 库,我可以使用公式 "Attrition ~ OverTime + JobRole" 来种植一棵树,其中 OverTime 被选为第一次拆分。但是当我尝试在没有 JobRole 变量(即 "Attrition ~ OverTime")的情况下生长树时,树不会分裂并且 returns 只有根节点。这发生在使用 rpart 函数以及 caret 的 train 函数和 method = "rpart" 的情况下。

我对此感到困惑,因为我认为在 rpart 中实现的 CART 算法选择了最好的变量以迭代贪婪的方式进行拆分,而没有 "look ahead" 查看其他变量的存在情况影响其最佳拆分的 selection。如果算法 select 在具有两个解释变量的情况下将 OverTime 作为一个有价值的第一次拆分,为什么在删除 JobRole 变量后 select OverTime 不作为一个有价值的第一次拆分?

我正在使用 R 版本 3.4.2 和 RStudio 版本 1.1.442 Windows 7.

研究: 我发现了类似的 Stack Overflow 问题 here and here,但都没有完整的答案。

据我所知,rpart docs 似乎在第 5 页上说 rpart 算法不使用 "look ahead" 规则:

One way around both of these problems is to use look-ahead rules; but these are computationally very expensive. Instead rpart uses one of several measures of impurity, or diversity, of a node.

还有类似的描述here and here

CODE: 这是一个代表。任何见解都会很棒 - 谢谢!

suppressPackageStartupMessages(library(rsample))                                                                                                           
#> Warning: package 'rsample' was built under R version 3.4.4
suppressPackageStartupMessages(library(rpart))                                                                                                             
suppressPackageStartupMessages(library(caret))                                                                                                             
suppressPackageStartupMessages(library(dplyr))                                                                                                             
#> Warning: package 'dplyr' was built under R version 3.4.3
suppressPackageStartupMessages(library(purrr))                                                                                                             

#################################################                                                                                                          

# look at data                                                                                                                                             
data(attrition)                                                                                                                                            
attrition_subset <- attrition %>% select(Attrition, OverTime, JobRole)                                                                                     
attrition_subset %>% glimpse()                                                                                                                             
#> Observations: 1,470
#> Variables: 3
#> $ Attrition <fctr> Yes, No, Yes, No, No, No, No, No, No, No, No, No, N...
#> $ OverTime  <fctr> Yes, No, Yes, Yes, No, No, Yes, No, No, No, No, Yes...
#> $ JobRole   <fctr> Sales_Executive, Research_Scientist, Laboratory_Tec...
map_dfr(.x = attrition_subset, .f = ~ sum(is.na(.x)))                                                                                                      
#> # A tibble: 1 x 3
#>   Attrition OverTime JobRole
#>       <int>    <int>   <int>
#> 1         0        0       0

#################################################                                                                                                          

# with rpart                                                                                                                                               
attrition_rpart_w_JobRole <- rpart(Attrition ~ OverTime + JobRole, data = attrition_subset, method = "class", cp = .01)                                    
attrition_rpart_w_JobRole                                                                                                                                  
#> n= 1470 
#> 
#> node), split, n, loss, yval, (yprob)
#>       * denotes terminal node
#> 
#>  1) root 1470 237 No (0.83877551 0.16122449)  
#>    2) OverTime=No 1054 110 No (0.89563567 0.10436433) *
#>    3) OverTime=Yes 416 127 No (0.69471154 0.30528846)  
#>      6) JobRole=Healthcare_Representative,Manager,Manufacturing_Director,Research_Director 126  11 No (0.91269841 0.08730159) *
#>      7) JobRole=Human_Resources,Laboratory_Technician,Research_Scientist,Sales_Executive,Sales_Representative 290 116 No (0.60000000 0.40000000)  
#>       14) JobRole=Human_Resources,Research_Scientist,Sales_Executive 204  69 No (0.66176471 0.33823529) *
#>       15) JobRole=Laboratory_Technician,Sales_Representative 86  39 Yes (0.45348837 0.54651163) *

attrition_rpart_wo_JobRole <- rpart(Attrition ~ OverTime, data = attrition_subset, method = "class", cp = .01)                                             
attrition_rpart_wo_JobRole                                                                                                                                 
#> n= 1470 
#> 
#> node), split, n, loss, yval, (yprob)
#>       * denotes terminal node
#> 
#> 1) root 1470 237 No (0.8387755 0.1612245) *

#################################################                                                                                                          

# with caret                                                                                                                                               
attrition_caret_w_JobRole_non_dummies <- train(x = attrition_subset[ , -1], y = attrition_subset[ , 1], method = "rpart", tuneGrid = expand.grid(cp = .01))
attrition_caret_w_JobRole_non_dummies$finalModel                                                                                                           
#> n= 1470 
#> 
#> node), split, n, loss, yval, (yprob)
#>       * denotes terminal node
#> 
#>  1) root 1470 237 No (0.83877551 0.16122449)  
#>    2) OverTime=No 1054 110 No (0.89563567 0.10436433) *
#>    3) OverTime=Yes 416 127 No (0.69471154 0.30528846)  
#>      6) JobRole=Healthcare_Representative,Manager,Manufacturing_Director,Research_Director 126  11 No (0.91269841 0.08730159) *
#>      7) JobRole=Human_Resources,Laboratory_Technician,Research_Scientist,Sales_Executive,Sales_Representative 290 116 No (0.60000000 0.40000000)  
#>       14) JobRole=Human_Resources,Research_Scientist,Sales_Executive 204  69 No (0.66176471 0.33823529) *
#>       15) JobRole=Laboratory_Technician,Sales_Representative 86  39 Yes (0.45348837 0.54651163) *

attrition_caret_w_JobRole <- train(Attrition ~ OverTime + JobRole, data = attrition_subset, method = "rpart", tuneGrid = expand.grid(cp = .01))            
attrition_caret_w_JobRole$finalModel                                                                                                                       
#> n= 1470 
#> 
#> node), split, n, loss, yval, (yprob)
#>       * denotes terminal node
#> 
#> 1) root 1470 237 No (0.8387755 0.1612245)  
#>   2) OverTimeYes< 0.5 1054 110 No (0.8956357 0.1043643) *
#>   3) OverTimeYes>=0.5 416 127 No (0.6947115 0.3052885)  
#>     6) JobRoleSales_Representative< 0.5 392 111 No (0.7168367 0.2831633) *
#>     7) JobRoleSales_Representative>=0.5 24   8 Yes (0.3333333 0.6666667) *

attrition_caret_wo_JobRole <- train(Attrition ~ OverTime, data = attrition_subset, method = "rpart", tuneGrid = expand.grid(cp = .01))                     
attrition_caret_wo_JobRole$finalModel                                                                                                                      
#> n= 1470 
#> 
#> node), split, n, loss, yval, (yprob)
#>       * denotes terminal node
#> 
#> 1) root 1470 237 No (0.8387755 0.1612245) *

这很有道理。上面的代码有点多,所以我会重复重要的部分。

library(rsample)
library(rpart)
data(attrition)

rpart(Attrition ~ OverTime + JobRole, data=attrition)
n= 1470 
node), split, n, loss, yval, (yprob)
      * denotes terminal node

 1) root 1470 237 No (0.83877551 0.16122449)  
   2) OverTime=No 1054 110 No (0.89563567 0.10436433) *
   3) OverTime=Yes 416 127 No (0.69471154 0.30528846)  
     6) JobRole=Healthcare_Representative,Manager,Manufacturing_Director,Research_Director 126  11 No (0.91269841 0.08730159) *
     7) JobRole=Human_Resources,Laboratory_Technician,Research_Scientist,Sales_Executive,Sales_Representative 290 116 No (0.60000000 0.40000000)  
      14) JobRole=Human_Resources,Research_Scientist,Sales_Executive 204  69 No (0.66176471 0.33823529) *
      15) JobRole=Laboratory_Technician,Sales_Representative 86  39 Yes (0.45348837 0.54651163) *

rpart(Attrition ~ OverTime, data=attrition)
n= 1470 
node), split, n, loss, yval, (yprob)
      * denotes terminal node

1) root 1470 237 No (0.8387755 0.1612245) *

看看第一个模型(有两个变量)。在根下面我们有:

1) root 1470 237 No (0.83877551 0.16122449)        
    2) OverTime=No 1054 110 No (0.89563567 0.10436433) *      
    3) OverTime=Yes 416 127 No (0.69471154 0.30528846)

模型继续拆分节点 3(OverTime=Yes),但 使用 JobRole。由于我们在第二个模型中没有 JobRole,因此 rpart 无法进行其他拆分。但请注意,在节点 2 和节点 3 中,Attrition=No 是大多数 class。在节点 3,69.5% 的实例为否,30.5% 为是。因此,对于节点 2 和 3,我们都将预测为否。由于分裂两侧的预测相同,因此分裂是不必要的并被修剪掉。只需要根节点就可以预测所有的实例都是No.