如何解释预测模型
How to interpret Forecasting Models
我使用为期 5 年的预测和自动绘图创建了一个预测模型。
着色是什么意思，即灰色区域和紫色区域表示什么？还有蓝线？
When we obtain a forecast, we are estimating the middle of the range of possible values the random variable could take. Often, a forecast is accompanied by a prediction interval giving a range of values the random variable could take with relatively high probability. For example, a 95% prediction interval contains a range of values which should include the actual future value with probability 95%.
我使用为期 5 年的预测和自动绘图创建了一个预测模型。
着色是什么意思，即灰色区域和紫色区域表示什么？还有蓝线？
When we obtain a forecast, we are estimating the middle of the range of possible values the random variable could take. Often, a forecast is accompanied by a prediction interval giving a range of values the random variable could take with relatively high probability. For example, a 95% prediction interval contains a range of values which should include the actual future value with probability 95%.